Volume
$2.9M
Liquidity
$455K
Ends
Sep 16, 2026
Source
Federal Reserve FOMC statement
About this market
Resolves YES if the FOMC lowers the target federal funds rate range at its September 2026 meeting.
Recent trades
Resolution
Source
Federal Reserve FOMC statement
Rules
Resolves YES if the official FOMC statement released at the September 2026 meeting announces a reduction of the federal funds target range by any increment. An inter-meeting cut before the September decision also resolves YES. Otherwise resolves NO.
Winning shares settle at $1.00 · losing shares settle at $0.00 · disputes reviewed by the FutureCast oracle council within 48h of resolution.
Discussion
3Took the other side at these levels. Risk/reward flips hard above 70¢.
Volume spike this morning looks like one whale, not broad conviction. Fade it.
Order flow has been one-directional all week. The market is underpricing the base case here.
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Winning shares settle at $1 · losing shares settle at $0