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EconomyCPI <3.0%23d left

Will July CPI come in below 3.0% YoY?

66% 17.5pt

Volume

$940K

Liquidity

$172K

Ends

Aug 12, 2026

Source

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics release

About this market

Resolves YES if headline U.S. CPI for July 2026 prints below 3.0% year-over-year in the initial BLS release.

Recent trades

NOperpsdegen1m ago
NOclara.eth4m ago
NOmacro_mia11m ago
YESperpsdegen26m ago
NOvol_smile48m ago
YES0x9a02…77f41h ago
YESvol_smile2h ago
NOperpsdegen3h ago
YES0x2e6f…b1c75h ago

Resolution

Source

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics release

Rules

Resolves YES if the initial BLS release for July 2026 headline CPI (all items, YoY, unadjusted) is strictly below 3.0%. Subsequent revisions are ignored. Otherwise resolves NO.

Winning shares settle at $1.00 · losing shares settle at $0.00 · disputes reviewed by the FutureCast oracle council within 48h of resolution.

Discussion

3
MA
macro_mia2h ago

Order flow has been one-directional all week. The market is underpricing the base case here.

DE
deltaneutral7h ago

I'm market-making both sides of this one. Spread has tightened a lot since Monday — good sign for liquidity.

TR
trench_kb1d ago

Resolution source is clean and unambiguous. That alone makes this tradeable for size.

Place a trade

Fees $0.00 · demo

$
Avg price66¢
Shares75.8
Potential payout$75.76
Profit if right+$25.76 (+52%)

Winning shares settle at $1 · losing shares settle at $0

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