Volume
$780K
Liquidity
$141K
Ends
Oct 5, 2026
Source
Tesla Q3 2026 delivery press release
About this market
Resolves YES if Tesla's official Q3 2026 delivery report states more than 500,000 total vehicle deliveries.
Recent trades
Resolution
Source
Tesla Q3 2026 delivery press release
Rules
Resolves YES if Tesla's official Q3 2026 delivery announcement reports total deliveries strictly greater than 500,000 vehicles. Production numbers do not count. Otherwise resolves NO.
Winning shares settle at $1.00 · losing shares settle at $0.00 · disputes reviewed by the FutureCast oracle council within 48h of resolution.
Discussion
3Took the other side at these levels. Risk/reward flips hard above 70¢.
Volume spike this morning looks like one whale, not broad conviction. Fade it.
Order flow has been one-directional all week. The market is underpricing the base case here.
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Winning shares settle at $1 · losing shares settle at $0