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StocksSPX 7,0005mo left

Will the S&P 500 close above 7,000 this year?

55% 18.9pt

Volume

$1.7M

Liquidity

$310K

Ends

Dec 31, 2026

Source

S&P Dow Jones Indices official close

About this market

Resolves YES if the S&P 500 index records an official daily close above 7,000 points on any trading day in 2026.

Recent trades

NOyield_andy1m ago
NOperpsdegen4m ago
NO0x9a02…77f411m ago
YES0x2e6f…b1c726m ago
NOperpsdegen48m ago
YES0x9a02…77f41h ago
YES0x41be…08d12h ago
YESvol_smile3h ago
YES0x41be…08d15h ago

Resolution

Source

S&P Dow Jones Indices official close

Rules

Resolves YES if the official S&P 500 closing value exceeds 7,000.00 on any U.S. trading day before Dec 31, 2026. Intraday highs do not count. Otherwise resolves NO.

Winning shares settle at $1.00 · losing shares settle at $0.00 · disputes reviewed by the FutureCast oracle council within 48h of resolution.

Discussion

3
DE
deltaneutral2h ago

I'm market-making both sides of this one. Spread has tightened a lot since Monday — good sign for liquidity.

TR
trench_kb7h ago

Resolution source is clean and unambiguous. That alone makes this tradeable for size.

YI
yield_andy1d ago

Compare this to the related markets in the category — there's a consistency arb if you squint.

Place a trade

Fees $0.00 · demo

$
Avg price55¢
Shares90.9
Potential payout$90.91
Profit if right+$40.91 (+82%)

Winning shares settle at $1 · losing shares settle at $0

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