Volume
$4.8M
Liquidity
$612K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Source
CoinGecko BTC/USD index
About this market
Resolves YES if the price of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) trades at or above $150,000 at any point before the end of 2026. A single verified print on the reference index is sufficient.
Recent trades
Resolution
Source
CoinGecko BTC/USD index
Rules
Resolves YES if BTC/USD reaches or exceeds $150,000.00 on the CoinGecko index at any time between market creation and Dec 31, 2026, 23:59 UTC. Otherwise resolves NO. Exchange-specific wicks that do not register on the index do not count.
Winning shares settle at $1.00 · losing shares settle at $0.00 · disputes reviewed by the FutureCast oracle council within 48h of resolution.
Discussion
3Halving-cycle math says this is live into Q4. 34¢ feels cheap if ETF inflows pick back up.
Counterpoint: dollar strength has capped every rally this year. I'm short YES until DXY breaks down.
The index-print rule matters here — remember the March wick only hit on two venues and wouldn't have counted.
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Winning shares settle at $1 · losing shares settle at $0